AI’s rapid improvement has been particularly evident in mathematics, says Coxon, who studied the subject at Cambridge before moving into AI. In recent months, AI labs have announced solutions to several longstanding mathematical problems. Most notably, OpenAI claims to have resolved the Navier–Stokes existence and smoothness problem—one of mathematics’ seven Millennium Prize Problems—using roughly 10,000 concurrent agents over 88 hours. If that trend continues, and extends to AI research itself, Coxon fears it will kick off a feedback loop of further acceleration.
Does Coxon regret his work advancing the technology that he now fears? “Definitely … But also the world did look very different three years ago, and I think it’s easy to see with the benefit of hindsight,” he says. “I guess it takes some time to fully internalize emotionally the fact that there’s a decent chance the whole thing goes wrong,” he adds.
Some of Coxon’s former colleagues shared his post on X. “Jacob is correct here—we really do earnestly believe AI could kill all humans! I personally think it is >10% within the next decade,” At Anthropic, Coxon says, the risks he fears were debated openly. OpenAI, where he worked before joining Anthropic earlier this year, was more guarded. He attributes that partly to OpenAI’s leakier culture, which he says made candid internal discussion difficult and executives’ true views harder to discern. “At OpenAI, there are many more people who are there either just for money or just haven’t really thought about the stakes,” he adds.
Many in Washington .”
“I think the word ‘doomer’ is kind of insane, because all you really have to do is look at the public statements of the CEOs,” Coxon says. In 2023, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman and Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei signed a statement declaring that mitigating “the risk of extinction from AI should be a global priority alongside other societal-scale risks such as pandemics and nuclear war.”
